Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸

Confirmed⮸

Dead⮸

Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸

Active⮸

Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸

IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that the fit is good if it is shown.

The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.

Croatia⮸

Population $4,105,267$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $175,886$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $2,640$ on 2020-12-13

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $25,035$ on 2020-12-13

Switzerland⮸

Population $8,654,622$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $373,831$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $5,985$ on 2020-12-13

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $76,346$ on 2020-12-13

Italy⮸

Population $60,461,826$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $1,843,712$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $64,520$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,136.1}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 53.6)}}\) (asimptote \(39,136.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $686,031$ on 2020-12-13

US⮸

Population $331,002,651$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $16,253,219$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{64,269,585.0}{1 + 10^{-0.005 (t - 383.5)}}\) (asimptote \(64,269,585.0\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $299,168$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{285,016.1}{1 + 10^{-0.007 (t - 131.2)}}\) (asimptote \(285,016.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $9,655,969$ on 2020-12-13

United Kingdom⮸

Population $67,886,011$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $1,854,490$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $64,267$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{45,225.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 51.0)}}\) (asimptote \(45,225.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $1,786,210$ on 2020-12-13

Sweden⮸

Population $10,099,265$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $320,098$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $7,514$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,019.6}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 54.6)}}\) (asimptote \(6,019.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $312,584$ on 2020-12-13

Germany⮸

Population $83,783,942$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $1,350,810$ on 2020-12-13

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $22,106$ on 2020-12-13

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $337,997$ on 2020-12-13

Recovering countries that had over 300 active cases at peak⮸

List of all recovering countries (the top 4 not covered above are also analyzed below)⮸

Saudi Arabia recovered 95%
Qatar recovered 94%
Chad recovered 85%
Kuwait recovered 80%
El Salvador recovered 79%
Maldives recovered 78%
Nepal recovered 76%
Trinidad and Tobago recovered 75%
Tajikistan recovered 75%
Jordan recovered 72%
India recovered 65%
Venezuela recovered 63%
Taiwan* recovered 61%
Ethiopia recovered 54%
Austria recovered 52%
Andorra recovered 52%
Armenia recovered 50%
Bangladesh recovered 46%
Poland recovered 42%
Argentina recovered 30%
Costa Rica recovered 29%
Romania recovered 29%
Morocco recovered 26%
Jamaica recovered 25%
Malta recovered 16%
Italy recovered 15%
Iraq recovered 14%
Iran recovered 6%
Bulgaria recovered 6%
Ukraine recovered 2%

Saudi Arabia⮸

Population $34,813,871$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $359,888$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{347,069.9}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 108.2)}}\) (asimptote \(347,069.9\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $6,048$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,927.8}{1 + 10^{-0.012 (t - 132.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,927.8\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-12 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $3,291$ on 2020-12-13

Qatar⮸

Population $2,881,053$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $140,961$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{128,756.5}{1 + 10^{-0.020 (t - 100.6)}}\) (asimptote \(128,756.5\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $240$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{227.2}{1 + 10^{-0.018 (t - 97.6)}}\) (asimptote \(227.2\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $2,231$ on 2020-12-13

Chad⮸

Population $16,425,864$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-04-12 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $1,770$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,055.1}{1 + 10^{-0.006 (t - 129.7)}}\) (asimptote \(2,055.1\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-04-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $102$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{95.1}{1 + 10^{-0.010 (t - 23.1)}}\) (asimptote \(95.1\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-04-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $61$ on 2020-12-13

Kuwait⮸

Population $4,270,571$

Confirmed⮸

Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)

Latest number $146,218$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{152,633.9}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 174.8)}}\) (asimptote \(152,633.9\))

Dead⮸

Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)

Latest number $911$ on 2020-12-13

Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{968.6}{1 + 10^{-0.008 (t - 135.0)}}\) (asimptote \(968.6\))

Active⮸

Start date 2020-02-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)

Latest number $3,213$ on 2020-12-13